Macroeconomy
Stocks, flows and the impact of housing prices on CPI and inflation Thursday, August 17 Stephen Malpezzi Anyone interested in housing markets can benefit from a deeper understanding of housing price data. The rent Consumer Price Index (CPI) will be of particular interest to all those concerned with recent trends in housing “affordability,” and also to those involved in writing contracts with CPI escalation clauses. More...
Macroeconomy
Boom and bust hits a forecasting variable economists used to bank on Thursday, August 10 Julia Coronado Rrecent record highs in consumer net worth have fueled confidence in the economy, as a contributor to the ‘wealth effect’ that became a key variable in the 1990s stock market boom. Recently, however, it seems the wealth effect may be losing its potency. More...
Macroeconomy
Taking a longer run look at inflation and relative prices Thursday, August 3 Stephen Malpezzi Broad patterns in consumption over the last 60 years give us some insight into prices and demand. But relative prices in categories like health care, higher education and food can diverge dramatically from the norm. Today we examine the impact of current cyclical changes over a longer run. More...
Macroeconomy
The correlations between weakness in consumer spending and inflation Thursday, July 27 Julia Coronado Are recent low inflation readings a signal of weakening consumer demand or a transitory development? The answer is key for thinking about which way the economy – and interest rates – are headed.. More...
Macroeconomy
Today we’ll examine the “employment elephant” one more time! Thursday, July 20 Stephen Malpezzi First, we’ll return to state data, documenting some key points about the relationship between state employment growth and state population growth. We’ll also take a quick look at the relationship between employment growth and income growth. Second, we will examine sectoral differences in employment growth in New... More...

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